Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.001608 0.001781 0.001954 0.002140 0.002334 0.002531 0.002744
2025-02-16 0.001301 0.001573 0.001856 0.002171 0.002509 0.002860 0.003250
2025-02-23 0.000943 0.001275 0.001639 0.002058 0.002523 0.003017 0.003579
2025-03-02 0.000674 0.001044 0.001470 0.001982 0.002566 0.003202 0.003937
2025-03-09 0.000478 0.000869 0.001347 0.001944 0.002643 0.003420 0.004333
2025-03-16 0.000334 0.000734 0.001255 0.001929 0.002741 0.003658 0.004749
2025-03-23 0.000247 0.000658 0.001227 0.001986 0.002918 0.003985 0.005266
2025-03-30 0.000167 0.000572 0.001174 0.002005 0.003046 0.004252 0.005715
2025-04-06 0.000105 0.000497 0.001126 0.002023 0.003168 0.004511 0.006153
2025-04-13 0.000061 0.000433 0.001085 0.002046 0.003292 0.004770 0.006589
2025-04-20 0.000023 0.000352 0.001007 0.002011 0.003340 0.004935 0.006913
2025-04-27 0.000004 0.000287 0.000942 0.001989 0.003399 0.005109 0.007246
2025-05-04 NaN 0.000257 0.000941 0.002063 0.003597 0.005470 0.007820
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000224 0.000930 0.002127 0.003784 0.005822 0.008393
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000148 0.000819 0.002037 0.003769 0.005928 0.008675
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000094 0.000733 0.001977 0.003789 0.006076 0.009007
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000058 0.000672 0.001949 0.003849 0.006274 0.009400
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000034 0.000626 0.001942 0.003937 0.006504 0.009832
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000025 0.000623 0.002004 0.004119 0.006855 0.010411
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000013 0.000598 0.002026 0.004246 0.007134 0.010901
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000005 0.000574 0.002047 0.004368 0.007406 0.011383
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000001 0.000553 0.002071 0.004494 0.007683 0.011870
2025-07-13 NaN NaN 0.000504 0.002038 0.004535 0.007848 0.012218